Cardinal voting

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This article is about voting systems called "cardinal voting" (because they are not ordinal). For the voting system used by actual Cardinals, see Papal conclave § Voting.
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Cardinal voting refers to any electoral system which allows the voter to give each candidate an independent rating or grade.[1] These are also referred to as "rated" (Ratings ballot), "evaluative", "graded", or "absolute" voting systems.[2][3] Cardinal methods (based on cardinal utility) and ordinal methods (based on ordinal preferences, also called ranked voting) are two main categories of modern voting systems, along with plurality voting.

On a rated ballot, the voter may rate each choice independently.
An approval voting ballot does not require ranking or exclusivity.

Variants[edit]

A majority judgment ballot is based on grades like those used in schools.

There are several voting systems that allow independent ratings of each candidate. For example:

  • Approval voting (AV) is the simplest possible method, which allows only the two grades (0, 1): "approved" or "unapproved".[4]
  • Evaluative voting (EV) or combined approval voting (CAV) uses 3 grades (−1, 0, +1): "against", "abstain", or "for".[4][5][6]
  • Score voting or range voting, in which ratings are numerical and the candidate with the highest average (or total[7][8]) rating wins.
    • Score voting uses a discrete integer scale, typically from 0 to 5 or 0 to 9.[9][10]
    • Range voting uses a continuous scale from 0 to 1.[4][9][11][12]
  • STAR voting, in which scores are from 0 to 5, and the most-preferred of the top-two highest-scoring candidates wins.[13][14][15]
  • Majority Judgment, in which ratings are verbal grades (such as "Excellent", to "Poor") with numerical values, and one of the candidates with the highest median grade wins.
  • Majority Approval Voting, a scored variant of Bucklin voting, typically using letter grades (such as "A" through "F").[16]
  • 3-2-1 voting, in which voters rate each candidate "Good", "OK", or "Bad", and there are 3 automatic rounds to tally them.[17][18][19]

Additionally, several cardinal systems have variants for multi-winner elections, typically meant to produce proportional representation, such as:

Relationship to rankings[edit]

Ratings ballots can be converted to ranked/preferential ballots. For example:

Rating (0 to 99) Preference order
Candidate A 99 First
Candidate B 20 Third
Candidate C 20 Third
Candidate D 55 Second

This requires the voting system to accommodate a voter's indifference between two candidates (as in Ranked Pairs or Schulze method).

The opposite is not true: Rankings cannot be converted to ratings, since ratings carry more information about strength of preference, which is destroyed when converting to rankings.

Analysis[edit]

By avoiding ranking (and its implication of a monotonic approval reduction from most- to least-preferred candidate) cardinal voting methods may solve a very difficult problem:

A foundational result in social choice theory (the study of voting methods) is Arrow's impossibility theorem, which states that no method can comply with all of a simple set of desirable criteria. However, since one of these criteria (called "universality") implicitly requires that a method be ordinal, not cardinal, Arrow's theorem does not apply to cardinal methods.[21][22][23][24]

Others, however, argue that ratings are fundamentally invalid, because meaningful interpersonal comparisons of utility are impossible.[25] This was Arrow's original justification for only considering ranked systems,[26] but later in life he stated that cardinal methods are "probably the best".[27]

In any case, cardinal methods do fall under Gibbard's theorem, and therefore any such method must be subject to strategic voting in some instances.[28][29][dubious – discuss][30]

Psychological research has shown that cardinal ratings (on a numerical or Likert scale, for instance) are more valid and convey more information than ordinal rankings in measuring human opinion.[31][32][33][34]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Baujard, Antoinette; Gavrel, Frédéric; Igersheim, Herrade; Laslier, Jean-François; Lebon, Isabelle (September 2017). "How voters use grade scales in evaluative voting". European Journal of Political Economy. doi:10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2017.09.006. ISSN 0176-2680. A key feature of evaluative voting is a form of independence: the voter can evaluate all the candidates in turn ... another feature of evaluative voting ... is that voters can express some degree of preference.
  2. ^ "Cardinal voting systems - Electowiki". electowiki.org. Retrieved 2017-01-31.
  3. ^ "Voting system - Electowiki". electowiki.org. Retrieved 2017-01-31.
  4. ^ a b c Hillinger, Claude (2005-05-01). "The Case for Utilitarian Voting". Open Access LMU. Munich. Retrieved 2018-05-15. Specific UV rules that have been proposed are approval voting, allowing the scores 0, 1; range voting, allowing all numbers in an interval as scores; evaluative voting, allowing the scores -1, 0, 1.
  5. ^ Hillinger, Claude (2004-10-01). "On the Possibility of Democracy and Rational Collective Choice". Rochester, NY. I favor 'evaluative voting' under which a voter can vote for or against any alternative, or abstain.
  6. ^ Felsenthal, Dan S. (January 1989). "On combining approval with disapproval voting". Behavioral Science. 34 (1): 53–60. doi:10.1002/bs.3830340105. ISSN 0005-7940. under CAV he has three options—cast one vote in favor, abstain, or cast one vote against.
  7. ^ "Range Voting". Social Choice and Beyond. Retrieved 2016-12-10. with the winner being the one with the largest point total. Or, alternatively, the average may be computed and the one with the highest average wins
  8. ^ "Score Voting". The Center for Election Science. 2015-05-21. Retrieved 2016-12-10. Simplified forms of score voting automatically give skipped candidates the lowest possible score for the ballot they were skipped. Other forms have those ballots not affect the candidate’s rating at all. Those forms not affecting the candidates rating frequently make use of quotas. Quotas demand a minimum proportion of voters rate that candidate in some way before that candidate is eligible to win.
  9. ^ a b "Should you be using a more expressive voting system?". VoteUp app. Retrieved 2018-05-15. Score Voting -- it’s just like range voting except the scores are discrete instead of spanning a continuous range.
  10. ^ "Rating Scale Research". RangeVoting.org. Retrieved 2018-05-15. The present page seems to conclude 0-9 is the best scale.
  11. ^ "Good criteria support range voting". RangeVoting.org. Retrieved 2018-05-15. Definition 1: For us "Range voting" shall mean the following voting method. Each voter provides as her vote, a set of real number scores, each in [0,1], one for each candidate. The candidate with greatest score-sum, is elected.
  12. ^ Smith, Warren D. (December 2000). "Range Voting" (PDF). The “range voting” system is as follows. In a c-candidate election, you select a vector of c real numbers, each of absolute value ≤1, as your vote. E.g. you could vote (+1, −1, +.3, −.9, +1) in a 5-candidate election. The vote-vectors are summed to get a c-vector x and the winner is the i such that xᵢ is maximum.
  13. ^ "STAR Voting". Equal Vote Coalition. Retrieved 2018-07-14.
  14. ^ "STAR voting an intriguing innovation". The Register Guard. Retrieved 2018-07-14.
  15. ^ "Are We Witnessing the Cutting Edge of Voting Reform?". IVN.us. 2018-02-01. Retrieved 2018-07-14.
  16. ^ "Majority Approval Voting". Electowiki. Retrieved 2018-08-26.
  17. ^ "3-2-1 voting". Electowiki.
  18. ^ Quinn, Jameson (2017-05-28). "Make. All. Votes. Count. (Part II: single-winner)". Jameson Quinn. Retrieved 2018-07-14.
  19. ^ "How does 3-2-1 voting work? - Quora". www.quora.com. Retrieved 2018-07-14.
  20. ^ "Reweighted Range Voting - a PR voting method that feels like range voting". RangeVoting.org. Retrieved 2018-03-24.
  21. ^ Vasiljev, Sergei (2008-04-01). "Cardinal Voting: The Way to Escape the Social Choice Impossibility". Rochester, NY: Social Science Research Network. SSRN 1116545.
  22. ^ "Interview with Dr. Kenneth Arrow". The Center for Election Science. October 6, 2012. CES: you mention that your theorem applies to preferential systems or ranking systems. ... But the system that you're just referring to, Approval Voting, falls within a class called cardinal systems. ... Dr. Arrow: And as I said, that in effect implies more information. ... I’m a little inclined to think that score systems where you categorize in maybe three or four classes probably (in spite of what I said about manipulation) is probably the best.
  23. ^ "RangeVoting.org - Arrow's theorem". rangevoting.org. Retrieved 2016-12-10. according to Arrow's definition, range voting is "not" a voting system at all
  24. ^ "How I Came to Care About Voting Systems". The Center for Election Science. 2011-12-21. Retrieved 2016-12-10. But Arrow only intended his criteria to apply to ranking systems.
  25. ^ "Why Not Ranking?". The Center for Election Science. 2016-05-31. Retrieved 2017-01-22. Many voting theorists have resisted asking for more than a ranking, with economics-based reasoning: utilities are not comparable between people. ... But no economist would bat an eye at asking one of the A voters above whether they'd prefer a coin flip between A and B winning or C winning outright...
  26. ^ "Modern economic theory has insisted on the ordinal concept of utility; that is, only orderings can be observed, and therefore no measurement of utility independent of these orderings has any significance. In the field of consumer's demand theory the ordinalist position turned out to create no problems; cardinal utility had no explanatory power above and beyond ordinal. Leibniz' Principle of the identity of indiscernibles demanded then the excision of cardinal utility from our thought patterns." Arrow (1967), as quoted on p. 33 by Racnchetti, Fabio (2002), "Choice without utility? Some reflections on the loose foundations of standard consumer theory", in Bianchi, Marina, The Active Consumer: Novelty and Surprise in Consumer Choice, Routledge Frontiers of Political Economy, 20, Routledge, pp. 21–45
  27. ^ "Interview with Dr. Kenneth Arrow". The Center for Election Science. October 6, 2012. CES: you mention that your theorem applies to preferential systems or ranking systems. ... But ... Approval Voting, falls within a class called cardinal systems. ... Dr. Arrow: And as I said, that in effect implies more information. ... I'm a little inclined to think that score systems where you categorize in maybe three or four classes ... is probably the best.
  28. ^ Quinn, Jameson (2014-10-22). "Answer to 'What is the significance of the Gibbard-Satterthwaite theorem?'". quora.com. Retrieved 2017-01-22. rated voting systems ... give voters more "expressivity" ... than ranked systems ... Though the G-S theorem still applies, at least there is always a "semi-honest" strategy — one that does not involve giving more support to a candidate you like less than to one you like more.
  29. ^ Durand, François (2017-01-06). "Answer to 'Does Gibbard–Satterthwaite theorem apply to all voting systems?'". Politics Stack Exchange. Retrieved 2017-01-22. Whereas Satterthwaite's version only applies to ordinal voting methods, Gibbard's version applies to all deterministic voting methods, including non-ordinal ones.
  30. ^ "The Gibbard-Satterthwaite theorem about honest & strategic voting". rangevoting.org. Retrieved 2017-01-22. In range voting elections with 3-or-fewer candidates, it never pays to submit a dishonest vote claiming A>B when you really feel B≥A. ... The Gibbard-Satterthwaite theorem only applies to rank-order-ballot voting systems.
  31. ^ Conklin, E. S.; Sutherland, J. W. (1923-02-01). "A Comparison of the Scale of Values Method with the Order-of-Merit Method". Journal of Experimental Psychology. 6 (1): 44–57. doi:10.1037/h0074763. ISSN 0022-1015. the scale-of-values method can be used for approximately the same purposes as the order-of-merit method, but that the scale-of-values method is a better means of obtaining a record of judgments
  32. ^ Moore, Michael (1975-07-01). "Rating versus ranking in the Rokeach Value Survey: An Israeli comparison". European Journal of Social Psychology. 5 (3): 405–408. doi:10.1002/ejsp.2420050313. ISSN 1099-0992. The extremely high degree of correspondence found between ranking and rating averages ... does not leave any doubt about the preferability of the rating method for group description purposes. The obvious advantage of rating is that while its results are virtually identical to what is obtained by ranking, it supplies more information than ranking does.
  33. ^ Maio, Gregory R.; Roese, Neal J.; Seligman, Clive; Katz, Albert (1996-06-01). "Rankings, Ratings, and the Measurement of Values: Evidence for the Superior Validity of Ratings". Basic and Applied Social Psychology. 18 (2): 171–181. doi:10.1207/s15324834basp1802_4. ISSN 0197-3533. Many value researchers have assumed that rankings of values are more valid than ratings of values because rankings force participants to differentiate more incisively between similarly regarded values ... Results indicated that ratings tended to evidence greater validity than rankings within moderate and low-differentiating participants. In addition, the validity of ratings was greater than rankings overall.
  34. ^ Johnson, Marilyn F.; Sallis, James F.; Hovell, Melbourne F. (1999-09-01). "Comparison of Rated and Ranked Health and Lifestyle Values". American Journal of Health Behavior. 23 (5): 356–367. doi:10.5993/AJHB.23.5.5. the test-retest reliabilities of the ranking items were slightly higher than were those of the rating items, but construct validities were lower. Because validity is the most important consideration ... the findings of the present research support the use of the rating format in assessing health values. ... added benefit of item independence, which allows for greater flexibility in statistical analyses. ... also easier than ranking items for respondents to complete.
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